NZ poll tracker
Across the 6 most recent polls (10 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026), the average party vote is Labour 28.4%, National 28.2%, Greens 14.9%, ACT 10.3%. Election day is 7 November 2026.
Party vote in the polls since the 2023 election
Each dot is one poll; lines are the average of the last 6 polls. Hover a line for values.
NationalLabourGreensACTNZ FirstTe Pāti MāoriOpportunity
All recent polls
| Poll | Dates | National | Labour | Greens | ACT | NZ First | Te Pāti Māori | Opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RNZ–Reid Research | 20–26 Oct 2026 | 24.8 | 30.6 | 14.5 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 1.9 | 7.2 |
| 1 News–Verian | 21–25 Oct 2026 | 28.9 | 27.3 | 14.8 | 12.4 | 10 | 0.1 | 6.3 |
| 1 News–Verian | 15–19 Oct 2026 | 32 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 0.7 | 7 |
| The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 9–19 Oct 2026 | 27.6 | 28.7 | 14.3 | 9 | 11.8 | 2 | 5.4 |
| 1 News–Verian | 8–12 Oct 2026 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 0.4 | 8 |
| Anacta | 6–10 Oct 2026 | 28 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 1.9 | 5.4 |
| 1 News–Verian | 1–5 Oct 2026 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 0.6 | 7 |
| Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1–5 Oct 2026 | 28.5 | 28.2 | 13.3 | 9.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 4.8 |
| RNZ–Reid Research | 24 Sep – 1 Oct 2026 | 25.9 | 30.8 | 14.8 | 9 | 10.6 | 2 | 5.5 |
| 1 News–Verian | 23–27 Sep 2026 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Roy Morgan | 31 Aug – 27 Sep 2026 | 31 | 23.5 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 6.5 |
| The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 4–11 Sep 2026 | 26.5 | 28 | 13.6 | 8.7 | 12.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 |
| Anacta | 4–10 Sep 2026 | 30 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 7 |
| Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1–3 Sep 2026 | 29 | 25.9 | 13.9 | 10.5 | 8.4 | 2 | 4.5 |
| Roy Morgan | 27 Jul – 23 Aug 2026 | 31 | 24 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 9.5 |
| RNZ–Reid Research | 14–21 Aug 2026 | 29.1 | 32.2 | 10.2 | 7.7 | 11.9 | 3 | 5.3 |
| 1 News–Verian | 8–11 Aug 2026 | 29 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 1.1 | 8 |
| Talbot Mills | 1–11 Aug 2026 | 29 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 5.2 |
| Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1–4 Aug 2026 | 31 | 27.8 | 10.1 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 6.1 |
| Roy Morgan | 29 Jun – 26 Jul 2026 | 32 | 25.5 | 13.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 2 | 8 |
How to read polls
Each poll asks about 1,000 people, so the margin of error is roughly 3 points per party. A one-point gap between two polls is usually noise. Different firms also run slightly different methods, which is why the average of several polls is more reliable than any single one. Polls measure party vote, not seats: how that turns into seats depends on the 5% threshold, electorate results and overhang.
Poll data: Wikipedia, Opinion polling for the 2026 New Zealand general election (CC BY-SA 4.0), compiled from published polls by 1News–Verian, RNZ–Reid Research, The Post–Freshwater Strategy, Taxpayers' Union–Curia, Roy Morgan and others. 2023 results: Electoral Commission. NZ Business Alliance is non-partisan and does not endorse any party.